North Dakota State University Political Science Faculty Professor Thomas Ambrosio told the aforesaid to Armenian News-NEWS.am.
As per Ambrosio, judging from the fact that the previous such high-level talks have not yielded any results, the ceasefire will continue to be violated. And there are no results because the Armenian and the Azerbaijani parties have reasons for not settling this conflict once and for all, Ambrosio added.
“The status quo is the best option for both parties. The second option for Armenia is the danger that the territory will fall into the hands of the Azerbaijani forces, which are strengthened by oil and dollars. And the danger for Azerbaijan is that Russia would make a decisive intervention in favor of its ally Armenia, [and] to the detriment of Azerbaijan, the ally of the US.
“Most likely, however, there will be no major changes unless the US or Russia will be willing to spend considerable political and diplomatic capital to demand one party [to the conflict] to concede to the other,” the analyst noted.
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