The IBD/TIPP survey, which includes 791 likely voters and carries a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points, was the most accurate predictor of the final results in the last three presidential elections — calling the outcomes within 0.9 percent of the actual tally in 2004, 2008, and 2012.
Trump pounced on the poll results. “Great new poll this morning, thank you. Lets #DrainTheSwamp and #MakeAmericaGreatAgain!” he tweeted.
Clinton has a 95 percent chance of winning, according to a Reuters/Ipsos electoral-vote analysis from last week.
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